Colts-steelers Odds Hot Indy Slight Road Favorite

February 11, 2020

The Indianapolis Colts (5-2) and Pittsburgh Steelers (3-4) meet Sunday at Heinz Field with kickoff slated for 1 p.m. ET.

We analyze the Colts-Steelers odds and betting lines while providing betting tips and advice around this Week 9 NFL matchup.

Indy has won three in a row. Pittsburgh has won back-to-back games, most recently knocking off the Miami Dolphins Monday night.

Colts at Steelers: Week 9 preview, betting trends and notes
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The Colts are just 1-14 SU in their last 15 road games against Pittsburgh and 0-5 in their last five.
In their last seven road games dating back to last season, the Colts are 5-1-1 ATS.
The Steelers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games after starting the year 0-2 ATS.
Indianapolis has scored at least 30 points just once this season and rank 16th in the NFL in points per game.
Pittsburgh has scored 20-27 points in each of its last six games after being held to just three points in the season opener against the New England Patriots.
The under is 4-1 in Pittsburgh’s last five games but the total has gone over in four of its last six meetings with Indy.
The total has gone under in four of the Colts’ last five road games.
Colts at Steelers: Key injuries
Colts: CB Pierre Desir (hamstring), WR T.Y. Hilton (calf), S Malik Hooker (knee) and G Quenton Nelson are questionable.

Steelers: RB James Conner (shoulder) was injured Monday and is listed as doubtful. His availability is worth monitoring closely, especially with backups Jaylen Samuels (knee) probable and Benny Snell Jr. (knee) out.

Oct 28, 2019; Pittsburgh, PA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph (2) and wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster celebrate a touchdown against the Miami Dolphins at Heinz Field. Photo Credit: Philip G. Pavely – USA TODAY Sports

Oct 28, 2019; Pittsburgh, PA; Pittsburgh Steelers quarterback Mason Rudolph (2) and wide receiver JuJu Smith-Schuster celebrate a touchdown against the Miami Dolphins at Heinz Field. (Photo Credit: Philip G. Pavely – USA TODAY Sports)

Odds via BetMGM; access USA TODAY Sports’ betting odds for a full list. Lines last updated Thursday at 5 p.m. ET.

Prediction
Colts 24, Steelers 20

Moneyline
The Steelers have owned the Colts in recent history, winning 14 of the last 15 meetings, but Indianapolis should win this game. If Conner can’t play, that’s a huge blow to the Steelers offense, which is led by QB Mason Rudolph.

Take the COLTS(-115) as they look like one of the best teams in the NFL.

New to sports betting? An $11.50 wager on Indianapolis to win returns a profit of $10 with a victory.

Against the Spread
Surprisingly, the Colts are only favored by 1.5 points ( -106). Yes, they’re on the road, but they’ve proven themselves with wins at the Kansas City Chiefs and Tennessee Titans this season. Indy is a much more complete team with an offense that’s playing well behind QB Jacoby Brissett.

The Colts won’t blow out the Steelers, but getting them at -1.5 seems like a great value. Give the points and take the COLTS to cover.

Over/Under
The score typically goes under in Steelers games this season, but they consistently score at least 20 points per game. The over is 4-1 in the Colts’ last five games after winning the previous week, which they did in Week 8.

Bet the OVER 42.5 ( -110).